Remove Keppel, Insert Condrey

Well that didn’t take very long. After releasing RHP Bobby Keppel, the Twins quickly filled that void by signing RHP Clay Condrey, formerly of the Philadelphia Phillies, to a 1 year contract. My first reaction was of surprise, considering the fact that I just discussed the relief options for the Twins following Keppel’s release, coming to the conclusion that the Twins have too many options for too few open spots (in the post, I claimed there was only one). Adding Condrey likely means that Pat Neshek will start the season in the minor leagues, and the final spot in the bullpen will probably go to a second lefthanded reliever.

What can we expect from Condrey? He is a 34 year old righthander that essentially will take over Keppel’s role in the bullpen. His repertoire includes a sinking fastball around 90 MPH, a slider in the mid-80s, a cutter in the high-80s, and a low-80s change-up. He doesn’t strike out very many (career 5.14 K/9), walks a fair amount (career 3.13 BB/9), isn’t too homer-prone (career 0.90 HR/9) but gives up quite a few hits (career .285 opponent’s batting average).

He was actually above average in the hits allowed department last year, but that was due to a great BABIP, especially by his standards. He tended to be in the .330 range (which is horribly unlucky) but in 2009, that dropped to an amazing .260. Condrey is coming off two consecutive seasons with an ERA in the low 3s, but with FIPs nearly a full run higher accompanying these two seasons, it would seem that he is due for an ERA around 4.20 in 2010. But, he’s running on three out of four seasons with ERAs around a full run lower than his FIP (thanks to stranding many runners on base), so maybe he can outperform what his FIP suggests.

Based on the fact that Condrey shouldn’t be paid much more than what Keppel would have received, this isn’t a bad signing for the Twins. They might get the same level of production, but Condrey has posted several seasons with a good ERA, so I do believe that they made a slight upgrade here. However, Condrey figures to only pitch in middle relief, so the improvement is very marginal.

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2 Responses to “Remove Keppel, Insert Condrey”

  1. Life Beyond Mauer « Off The Mark Says:

    […] 4 HR allowed, 2 walks and no strikeouts. First, I would like to repeat some comments that I made way back in January when the Twins first signed Condrey. What can we expect from Condrey? He is a 34 year old […]

  2. Notepad Scribbles, 7/20/10 « Off The Mark Says:

    […] for Clay Condrey, it appears that 2010 will be a lost season for him. I talked about what could be expected from him after the Twins signed him, and the gist of that post was that Condrey would be the middle […]

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