As you all know, I started looking at four (now three) new statistics involving a hitter’s ability to move runners up a base and scoring them. My methods have been constructively criticized quite a bit by my friend Steven for rewarding hitters for successfully moving runners up despite making an out themselves, but I can’t tempt you on the work that I’ve done and then decide that I can’t present it any longer. So here it is, the third thing that I looked at with Twins hitters in 2009: their ability to move runners up a base.
Once again, do you remember how I mentioned Nick Punto scored very well in one of the things I was looking at? This was that thing, as he finished second, right behind Joe Mauer (surprise surprise).
You might ask, “What does this mean?” Well, in the case of Joe Mauer, nearly half of the baserunners that were on base during Mauer’s at-bat were advanced at least one base by him. Once again, we see Michael Cuddyer near the middle of the pack again. I’m not too surprised to see Joe Crede near the bottom, due to his flyball tendencies when he bats, giving him fewer opportunities to advance a runner. However, don’t think that a hitter’s groundout to flyball ratio has anything to do with this, as Mike Redmond had the highest GO/FO at 2.13. I must say though that I’m surprised to see Carlos Gomez and Delmon Young in the middle of the pack, considering that both seem to strike out so often.
Here’s what best correlated with a hitter’s ability to advance a runner.
Once again, I’ve boxed the top three correlations and bolded the best one. Although OBP w/ runners on base is the best, the r-value is not great, so once again we’re lacking in a statistic that would correlate well for this. I checked GO/FO ratio and strikeouts as well (just as hunches), and they both were nowhere close to being as good as the top three above. I’m not too surprised about this, considering that as Steven has complained to me about this, I’m allowing batters to make outs so they can move up runners. If I eliminated that from my data, I bet I’d have better correlations with these statistics.
If you’re REALLY curious about all of my data for this, here you go. Just click on the spreadsheet to expand it to full size:
In a few days, I’ll have my last post up. This final one is sort of like a hitter’s slugging percentage, except it’s looking at the number of bases that the average runner moved up during each hitter’s plate appearance.